Brooklyn New Development Market Report

Updated: January 2012

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Table of Contents:

1. Introduction
2. Market Snapshot
3. Neighborhood Price Trends
   • Bay Ridge
   • Bed-Stuy
   • Brooklyn Heights
   • Boerum-Cobble Hill
   • Bushwick
   • Carroll Gardens
   • Clinton Hill
   • Crown Heights
   • Downtown Brooklyn
   • Fort Greene
   • Gowanus
   • Greenpoint
   • Kensington
   • Park Slope
   • Prospect Heights
   • Prospect Lefferts Gardens
   • Williamsburg
4. The Report Explained

Introduction

MNS is proud to present the Fourth Quarter 2011 edition of our New Development Market Report. New Development Sales data, defined as such “Arms-Length” first offering transactions where the seller is considered a “Sponsor”, was compiled from the Automated City Register Information System (ACRIS) for sponsor sales that traded during the Fourth Quarter of 2011 (10/01/11 – 12/31/11). All data summarized is on a median basis. This month also includes quarterly tracking graphs over an eight quarter look back (1Q10) and will continue to track the trends going forward.

Market Snapshot

Year Over Year Median PPSF - up 8%
Quarter Over Quarter Median PPSF - up 7%

Year Over Year Median Sales Price - up 15%
Quarter Over Quarter Median Sales Price - down 6%

Brooklyn New Development sales inventory - down 36% from last quarter.
Neighborhood with the most inventory - Williamsburg (25% of all Brooklyn)

Total New Development Sales Volume – down 35% to $148 Million from $230 Million in 3Q11

Largest quarterly up-swing: Brooklyn Heights
PPSF: $944/SF from $724/SF
Sales Price: $890K from $738K

Largest quarterly down-swing: Prospect Heights
PPSF: $718/SF from $938/SF
Sales Price: $845K from $1.17M

Highest New Development Sale:
One Brooklyn Bridge - 360 Furman Street #205 - $3,650,867

Market summary:

In Brooklyn, 2011 has faired better than 2010, with a peak median sales price in the third quarter at $575K, and a strong finish in the fourth quarter with a high median sales price per foot of $622/SF.

Year-over-Year Brooklyn New Development Condominium sales price per foot numbers are up 8% ($622/SF this quarter versus $574/SF in 4Q10), and median sales prices are up 15% ($542K this quarter versus $471K in 4Q10).

Compared to last quarter 3Q11, Brooklyn New Development price per square foot median numbers are up 7% but median sales prices are down 6%, to $542K from $575K.

Market up-swings:

Park Slope has remained steady during 2010 and into 2011, but the neighborhood has trended up the last three quarters, finishing the year at a median sales price of $630K. The 15 closings at 400 5th Ave had a median price per foot of $692/SF, boosting the neighborhood up 4% this quarter, as did sales at the lovely TBHC (The Brooklyn Home Company) at $955/SF.

Where in Brooklyn can you sell for over $1,000SF? Certainly in Williamsburg! In 4Q11, Edge had the highest price per square foot closing at $1,142/SF and also had 5 other closings over $1,000/SF. 2 Northside Piers had one PH closing at $1,073/SF. With 34% of the Williamsburg market, Edge has continued to absorb at a median of $863/SF this quarter, versus the $746/SF in the rest of the neighborhood.

Brooklyn Heights tends to also fetch high price per foot numbers, and this quarter closed 9 units at One Brooklyn Bridge Park at a median of $944/SF, a jump of 30% from 3Q11.

The tributes to these large numbers for 4Q11:

Market down-swings:

There’s been a huge slump in the Prospect Heights market since On Prospect Park stalled again, but when the remaining 20% comes back online, it may be a potential decline from its peak 2Q11 pricing of $1,000/SF. Whereas in 3Q11, there were 3 closings at a median of $938/SF, in 4Q11 there was only one at $822/SF.

This quarter’s closings for Crown Heights below $400/SF did not do the neighborhood justice, considering that the units on the market are asking a median price per foot of $565/SF. There’s about 5 months of inventory left, so we’ll look to 2012 to push this neighborhood back to its 2Q11 peak of $571/SF.

Inventory analysis:

Overall, the Borough is really suffering from condo-inventory. Brooklyn could easily absorb what is has on the market in about 3-6 months, putting serious pressure on pricing and housing options. However, of what is on the market, 50% of the inventory is one-bedrooms, and one-bedrooms have been absorbing at about half the pace of the other unit types. Two-bedrooms are the fastest to trade, about 30 a month last quarter.

The fourth quarter of 2011 brought 35% less sponsor sales to Brooklyn’s city registry, compared to 3Q11, the same decrease we saw from the second to the third quarters. Williamsburg still has the highest percentage of all Brooklyn New Development Sales.

In tracking the neighborhoods that sold the most amount of 4Q11 new development inventory per unit size, Williamsburg dominates in every category:

Studios - Williamsburg (34%)
One Bedrooms - Williamsburg (23%)
Two Bedrooms - Williamsburg (18%)
Three Bedrooms (1500 +) - Williamsburg (27%)

Market Snapshot